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schröder winfried; schmidt gunther - modelling potential malaria spread in germany by use of climate change projections

Modelling Potential Malaria Spread in Germany by Use of Climate Change Projections A Risk Assessment Approach Coupling Epidemiologic and Geostatistical Measures

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Dettagli

Genere:Libro
Lingua: Inglese
Editore:

Springer

Pubblicazione: 01/2014
Edizione: 2014





Trama

This book investigates the spatial distribution of potential temperature-driven malaria transmissions, using the basic reproduction rate (R0) to model the reproduction of the malaria pathogen Plasmodium vivax. The authors mapped areas at risk of an outbreak of tertian malaria in the federal state of Lower Saxony (pre-study) and for whole Germany (main-study) by means of geostatistics for past (1947-2007) and future periods. Projections based on predicted monthly mean air temperature data derived from the IPCC and regionally discriminated by two regional climate models (REMO, WettReg) for the countrywide study.




Sommario

1. Background and Goals.- 2. Case Study 1: Modelling Potential Transmission Gates of Malaria Tertiana in Lower Saxony.- 3. Case Study 2: Modelling Potential Transmission Gates of Malaria Tertiana in Germany.- 4. Conclusions and Outlook.










Altre Informazioni

ISBN:

9783319038223

Condizione: Nuovo
Collana: SpringerBriefs in Environmental Science
Dimensioni: 235 x 155 mm
Formato: Brossura
Illustration Notes:VIII, 58 p. 18 illus., 15 illus. in color.
Pagine Arabe: 58
Pagine Romane: viii


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