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An “installment strategy” in its most basic form, combines two options, one long-term position and one short-term. This strategy is designed as a conservative, no-cost method to either eliminate risk for future trading when stock is owned; or to fix the price for a future purchase of the underlying security.
Portfolio managers and experienced individual traders face a chronic problem – risk versus time. This goes beyond the well-known time decay of options and expands to the ever-present market risk to an underlying security. How do you execute a successful, conservative strategy and eliminate or reduce market risk?
In this book, a range of effective and creative strategies set out a conservative hedging system. This involves the combination of long-term long positions offset by short-term short positions in various configurations. Options Installment Strategies presents variations on the well-known calendar spread and demonstrates how specific strategies work well in short-term swings and even during extended periods of consolidation.
Table of Contents
Preface – Why a Contingent Method?
List of Figures and Tables
Chapter 1 – Chart-Based Trade Timing
The Key to Profitable Trades
Advantageous Price Levels
Price Patterns
Candlesticks (Eastern)Western Price Indicators
Non-price signals
Strong Fundamental Trends
Chapter 2 – Proximity and Risk
Proximity and MoneynessProximity to Expiration
Proximity of Price to Resistance or Support
Strongest Reversal Proximity
Proximity in Consolidation Trends
Risks in Every StrategyCollateral Requirements
Options and Market Risk
Chapter 3 – Picking the Right Stock
Fundamental Risk
The Effect of Fundamental Trends on Options RiskContingent Purchase and Stock Selection
Contingent Sales as Risk Hedges of StockDividend Yield and Trends
Debt to Total Capitalization Ratio and Trend
P/E Annual Ranges
Revenue and Earnings Trends
Chapter 4 – Timing with Well-Selected Technical Signals
Entry and Exit Timing
Resistance and Support
Bollinger Bands
T-Line
Gaps and Tops or Bottoms
Rounded Tops or Bottoms and Island Reversals
Candlestick Reversal
Candlestick ContinuationVolume Indicators
Momentum Oscillators
Moving Averages
Chapter 5 – Long-Term Market Risk Elimination
The Nature of Underlying RiskThe Risk Hedge with Long Puts
The Trade: Long-Term Long Put and Short-Term Short Positions
Calculating the Point of Risk Elimination
Possible Outcomes
Chapter 6 – Long-Term Contingent Purchase
Locking in the Future Price
The Risk Hedge for Future PurchaseCalculating the Point of Risk Elimination
Possible Outcomes
Chapter 7 – Short Options and Levels of Risk
Unavoidable Risks
Covered Calls for Risk Reduction
Uncovered Puts for the Same Risk Profile
Uncovered Calls and Varying Risk LevelsPicking Calls or Puts Based on Price Proximity
Exploiting Time DecayChapter 8 – Alternative Offsets Beyond Short Calls or Short Puts
Synthetic StockVertical and Diagonal Spreads
Straddles and Strangles
Iron butterfly
Closing the Long-Term Option at a Profit
Chapter 9 – Combining the Short Offset Alternatives
Current price proximity
Historical VolatilityCombining the Alternatives
Multiple Increments and Combinations
Chapter 10 – Expanding the Strategies
Rolling techniques
Long Collars
Long-Term Long Straddles and Strangles
Short-Term Short Straddles, Strangles and SpreadsCovered straddle and strangles
Straps and StripsMultiple Option Contracts
Chapter 11 – Managing Potential Losses
Short Positions at Risk
The Advantage of Time Decay
Reducing Risk Exposure: Moneyness and Timing
Avoiding Ex-Dividend Periods
Avoiding Earnings Week
Short-Term Expiration Advantages
Chapter 12 – Recovery Strategies
Protective and Responsive Loss Offsets
Selective Rolling
Closing and Taking Losses
Entering New Positions with Higher Risks
Expanding Exposed Spread Positions
Chapter 13 – The Flexibi
Michael C. Thomsett has been writing for a living since 1978 and has published more than 90 books. These include 12 options books. His best-selling Getting Started in Options has been published in ten editions and sold more than 300,000 copies. The 10th edition has been renamed Options (The Essential Guide for Getting Started in Derivatives Trading). He also has developed and presented options webinars, and operates a financial education website, Money Craft. Thomsett is a frequent speaker at trade shows and investment conventions. He blogs on Seeking Alpha, Options Money Maker, Steady Options and other social media.
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