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Decision Theory and Choices: a Complexity Approach

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Dettagli

Genere:Libro
Lingua: Inglese
Editore:

Springer

Pubblicazione: 08/2016
Edizione: Softcover reprint of the original 1st ed. 2010





Trama

In economics agents are assumed to choose on the basis of rational calculations aimed at the maximization of their pleasure or profit. Formally, agents are said to manifest transitive and consistent preferences in attempting to maximize their utility in the presence of several constraints. They operate according to the choice imperative: given a set of alternatives, choose the best. This imperative works well in a static and simplistic framework, but it may fail or vary when 'the best' is changing continuously. This approach has been questioned by a descriptive approach that springing from the complexity theory tries to give a scientific basis to the way in which individuals really choose, showing that those models of human nature is routinely falsified by experiments since people are neither selfish nor rational. Thus inductive rules of thumb are usually implemented in order to make decisions in the presence of incomplete and heterogeneous information sets.




Sommario

General Issues.- Coherence, Complexity and Creativity: the Dynamics of Decision Making.- Complexity Theoretic Bounded Rationality and Satisficing.- Optimisation and “Thoughtful Conjecturing” as Principles of Analytical Guidance in Social Decision Making.- Agent Based Models.- A New Agent-based Tool to Build Artificial Worlds.- Exploration Modes and Its Impact on Industry Profitability.- Financial Fragility and Interacting Units: an Exercise.- Techniques and Tools.- Using Homogeneous Groupings in Portfolio Management.- Elman Nets for Credit Risk Assessment.- Modeling from Physics.- From Chemical Kinetics to Models of Acquisition of Information: On the Importance of the Rate of Acquisition of Information.- Thermodynamic-like Approach to Complexity of the Financial Market (in the Light of the Present Financial Crises).- A Physicist’s Approach to Phase Controlling Chaotic Economic Models.- Related Issues.- A Note on Complaints and Deprivation.- Predictability of SOC Systems. Technological Extreme Events.- Ontology Based Risk Management.










Altre Informazioni

ISBN:

9788847058170

Condizione: Nuovo
Collana: New Economic Windows
Dimensioni: 235 x 155 mm
Formato: Brossura
Illustration Notes:XIV, 251 p.
Pagine Arabe: 251
Pagine Romane: xiv


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