Climate Change Vulnerability and Adaptation in Asia and the Pacific Manila, Philippines, 15–19 January 1996

PREFACE ix ACKNOWLEDGMENTS xi L. AMADORE, W. C. BOLHOFER, R. V. CRUZ, R. B. FEIR, C. A. FREYSINGER, S. GUILL, K. F. JALAL, A IGLESIAS, A. JOSE, S. LEATHERMAN, S. LENHART, S. MUKHER­ JEE, J. B. SMITH, and J. WISNIEWSKII Climate Change Vulnerability and Adap­ tion in Asia and the Pacific: Workshop Summary 1-12 A. IGLESIAS, LlN ERDA, and C. ROSENZWEIG I Climate Change in Asia: A Review of the Vulnerability and Adaption of Crop Production 13-27 I. AMIEN, P. REJEKININGRUM, A. PRAMUDIA, and E. SUSANTII Effects of Interannual Climate Variability and Climate Change on Rice Yield in Java, Indonesia 29-39 R. D. BUAN, AR. MAGLlNAO, P. P. EVANGELISTA, and B. G. PAJUELAS I Vulnerability of Rice and Corn to Climate Change in the Philippines 41-51 Z. KARIM, S. G. HUSSAIN, and M. AHMED I Assessing Impacts of Climatic Variations on Foodgrain Production in Bangladesh 53-62 LlN ERDA I Agricultural Vulnerability and Adaptation to Global Warming in China 63-73 WANG JINGHUA and LlN ERDA I The Impacts of Potential Climate Change and Climate Variability on Simulated Maize Production in China 75-85 M. A. WIJERATNE I Vulnerability of Sri Lanka Tea Production to Global Climate Change 87-94 B. BOLORTSETSEG and G. TUVAANSUREN I The Potential Impacts of Climate Change on Pasture and Cattle Production in Mongolia 95-105 K. BOONPRAGOB and J. SANTISIRISOMBOON I Modeling Potential Changes of Forest Area in Thailand under Climate Change 107-117 K. 1. KOBAK, I. YE. TURCHINOVICH, N. YU. KONDRASHEVA, E. -D. SCHULZE, W.

Climate Change Vulnerability and Adaption in Asia and the Pacific: Workshop Summary.- Climate Change in Asia: A Review of the Vulnerability and Adaption of Crop Production.- Effects of Interannual Climate Variability and Climate Change on Rice Yield in Java, Indonesia.- Vulnerability of Rice and Corn to Climate Change in the Philippines.- Assessing Impacts of Climatic Variations on Foodgrain Production in Bangladesh.- Agricultural Vulnerability and Adaptation to Global Warming in China.- The Impacts of Potential Climate Change and Climate Variability on Simulated Maize Production in China.- Vulnerability of Sri Lanka Tea Production to Global Climate Change.- The Potential Impacts of Climate Change on Pasture and Cattle Production in Mongolia.- Modeling Potential Changes of Forest Area in Thailand under Climate Change.- Vulnerability and Adaptation of the Larch Forest in Eastern Siberia to Climate Change.- Potential Impact of Global Climate Change on Forest Distribution in Sri Lanka.- Potential Impacts of Sea Level Rise on the Coastal Resources of Manila Bay: A Preliminary Vulnerability Assessment.- Shoreline Stabilization Approaches in Response to Sea Level Rise: U. S. Experience and Implications for Pacific Island and Asian Nations.- Tropical Cyclones and Coastal Inundation under Enhanced Greenhouse Conditions.- Vulnerability of Bangladesh to Climate Change and Sea Level Rise through Tropical Cyclones and Storm Surges.- Vulnerability and Adaptation of Hong Kong to Hazards under Climatic Change Conditions.- Vulnerability Assessment of Angat Water Reservoir to Climate Change.- Vulnerability of Freshwater Resources to Climate Change in the Tropical Pacific Region.- Integrated Model Systems for National Assessments of the Effects of Climate Change: Applications in New Zealand and Bangladesh.- A Process for Evaluating Anticipatory Adaptation Measures for Climate Change.- Workshop Participants.- Author Index.- Key Word Index.