Probabilistic-Statistical Approaches to the Prediction of Aircraft Navigation Systems Condition

This book highlights the development of new methods for assessing and forecasting the state of various complex ageing systems in service; analyzing the influence of destabilizing factors on the accuracy of aircraft flight navigation support; and making recommendations on the ideal aircraft route, taking into consideration the available information on the reliability of the navigation and communication equipment. 

CHAPTER 1. PROBABILITY-STATISTICAL MODELS OF PROCESSES OF AGEING AND survivability OF COMPLEX SYSTEMS

          

       1.1. Quasideterministic models of processes of complex systems ageing.

            1.2. Statistical models of processes of complex systems ageing.

            1.3. Analysis of state of complex systems ageing.

            1.4. Forecasting processes of ageing of individual elements of complex systems.

            1.5. Methods of enhancing aircraft survivability taking into account various external threats.    

 

CHAPTER 2. ANALYSIS OF STATISTICAL MODELS OF AGEING NAVIGATION SYSTEMS

 

       2.1. Free ageing navigation systems.

            2.1.1. Exponential transition function.

            2.1.2. Gaussian transition function.

2.1.3. Fisher-Snedeker transition function.

2.1.4. Linear transition function.

2.1.5. Time dependence.

            2.2. Recoverable ageing navigation systems.

            2.2.1. Exponential model.

2.2.2. Linear model.

2.3. Assessing state of ageing navigation systems.

 

CHAPTER 3. SPECIFIC FEATURES OF CONTROL OF AIRCRAFT RADIO NAVIGATION DEVICES UNDER CONDITIONS OF EXPOSURE TO DESTABILIZING FACTORS

 

            3.1. Specific features of aircraft travel control taking into account influence of destabilizing factors on radio navigation equipment.

3.2. Specific features of aircraft travel control under conditions of simultaneous exposure of radio navigation equipment to two destabilizing factors.

            3.2.1. Specific features of control of two-parameter systems with stepwise reliability function.

            3.2.2. Time characteristics of processes of changing parameters with respect to control objectives.

            3.3. Specific features of aircraft travel control under conditions of simultaneous exposure of radio navigation equipment to a great number of destabilizing factors

                       

 CHAPTER 4. BASIC RADIOTECHNICAL FACILITIES OF PROVIDING RELIABILITY OF AIRCRAFT FLIGHT

 

            4.1. Analysis of electromagnetic situation in the airfield area.

            4.2. Sources of radio noise and its influence on assessing accuracy of aircraft positioning.

            4.2.1. Municipal TV-broadcasting.

            4.2.2. Short-wave communication stations.

4.2.3. Homing automatic radio stations.

4.2.4. Radio-technical facilities of airport zone.

4.2.5. Influence of technical condition of radio-technical facilities of airport zone.

4.2.6. Ultra-high frequency airborne and ground radio stations.

4.2.7. Influence of main and indirect emission of short-wave radio communication stations on approach radar system glide-slope channel.

4.3. Assessing serviceability of ground GBAS station.

 

CHAPTER 5. TRANSMISSION OF DIGITAL NAVIGATION DATA AND ASSESSMENT OF RESULTS OF TAKEN DECISIONS

 

            5.1. Methods of navigation data transmission and assessment of results of taken decisions.

5.2. Approach to establishing electronic data storage to provide proper analysis of information being transmitted from aircraft.

            5.3. Methods of adopting decisions for assessing probability of failure-free operation of navigation data transmission line.

5.4. Assessing probability of failure-free operation of navigation data transmission line taking into account a priori information on probability of failure-free operation of component elements.

            5.5. Comparison of thumb-rule assessment of failure-free navigation data transmission via data transmission line.

5.6. Inverse problem of assessing quality of elements of navigation data transmission line.

            5.7. Substantiation of selecting type of navigation data transmission line.

 

CHAPTER 6. SELECTION OF ROUTE OF AIRCRAFT TRAVEL IN CASE OF TRANSITION TO ZONAL NAVIGATION TAKING INTO ACCOUNT RELIABILITY CHARACTERISTICS OF NAVIGATION AND COMMUNICATION EQUIPMENT

 

6.1. Specific features of incorporation of zonal navigation.

6.2. Updating aircraft travel route taking into account ICAO recommendations on air traffic organization.

6.3. Method of monitoring of altitude separation using ?ZN-V devices.

LITERATURE

Adopted abbreviations

Eliseev Boris Petrovich is Professor, Ph.D. (law), and is Honored Worker of higher education of Russian Federation and Academician of the Russian Academy of Natural History. He is Honorary Professor of the Ningbo University of Technology, Ningbo, P.R.C. He is the Rector of the Moscow State Technical University of Civil Aviation. He is the Author of more than 100 scientific papers, including 7 article theses, 2 textbooks, and 7 patents for inventions. He consulted 17 candidates of as a scientific supervisor.

Kozlov Anatoliy Ivanovich is Honored Worker of Science and Technology of the Russian Federation, Professor, Doctor of Physical and Mathematical Sciences, and advisor to the Rector of the Moscow State Technical University of Civil Aviation. He is Professor of the Department “Technical Operation of Radiotechnical Equipment for Air Transport”. He is the Author of about 300 scientific works, including 21 monographs, one of which was published in England and in the Netherlands, 25 textbooks, and 13 copyright certificates for inventions of a number of radio engineering tools. He is a scientific advisor and a scientific consultant and produced more than 70 candidates and doctors of science.

Romancheva Nina Ivanovna is Associate Professor, Cand.Sc. (engineering). He is Honorary Worker of higher vocational education of the RF. He is the Author of more than 150 scientific papers. He is Expert of the special section of Forum of Innovative Technologies of «Infospase-2014» (plugged the Government of Russian Federation in the list of key business events within the framework of leadthrough of science year Rossiya-ES). During many years, he was a leader and responsible performer of the row of research works on research of questions of construction of the computer systems and networks, including movable mobile complexes in the protected configuration.

Shatrakov Yuri Grigorievich is. Doctor of Technical Sciences, Professor, Honored Worker of Science of the Russian Federation, Laureate of State Prizes, and Academician of the Academy of Technological Sciences of the Russian Federation. He works in the field of “air navigation” since 1963 in the directions: ground and onboard systems of radio navigation, instrumental landing, secondary radar, air traffic control systems, and training and simulation systems. He has more than 400 scientific papers. He has trained more than 100 doctors and candidates of sciences.

Zatuchny Dmitry Alexandrovich is Associate Professor, Cand.Sc. (engineering), Professor of Department of “Computation Machines, Complexes, Systems and Networks” of the Moscow State Technical University of Civil Aviation. He is the Author of more than 130 scientific works, including 3 monographs and 5 textbooks, and 3 certificates of state registration of computer programs. He is responsible executor of a number of research works on the issues of ensuring the functioning of modern navigation means of civil aviation aircraft and air traffic control.

Zavalishin Oleg Ivanovich – is general director and chief designer of research, development and production «NPPF Spectr» LLC. He is the Author of more than 30 scientific works, including 12 patents of the Federal Service for Intellectual Property on inventions and useful models in the fields of radio engineering systems for satellite navigation, landing, and flight safety enhancement systems. He is general designer of the world's first certified two-constellations (GLONASS/GPS) satellite navigation and landing system (more than 120 stations commissioned), federal and regional GNSS Signal Monitoring Centers serving the interests of Civil Aviation (12 monitoring centers commissioned), satellite optical aircraft landing system; he is a specialist in the development and production of air navigation equipment, ground and onboard equipment for satellite systems, ground-based systems for the functional supplements of the global satellite navigation system, local differential systems, and landing radio technical equipment in Civil Aviation. He is Member of the Chief Designers Board of developers and manufacturers of navigation equipment (NAP) GNSS of the Ministry of Industry and Trade of the Russian Federation and Member of the Committee for International Cooperation in the fields of development and implementation of air navigation systems and equipment of the Union of Aviation Industrialists of Russia. He is Member of international working groups of EUROCONTROL LATO and IGWG FAA/EUROCONTROL.