Charting China's Future Domestic and International Challenges

Every day and everywhere, China figures prominently in global attention: companies and banks weigh billions in investments; hedge fund managers assess and speculate on downside risks; commodity traders and natural resource producers salivate over China’s energy appetite; intelligence agencies carefully track China’s growing global footprint; militaries monitor China’s growing military capabilities; diplomats grapple with a new assertiveness in China’s diplomatic posture; scholars try to understand the shifting dynamics and sources of China’s behaviour; while journalists track the latest changes in China’s economy, polity, and society. Charting China’s Future provides informed analysis on the complexities of today’s China, and where these complexities may lead, from some of the world’s leading Asia experts. The contributors have provided clear, intelligible, and forward-looking analyses, free of social science jargon and extensive footnotes. Probing into many of the key domestic and external issues facing China today from political, economic and social perspectives the book proffers a forward-looking analysis that will appeal to anyone with a professional, academic or personal interest in the big issues facing today's China and its interaction with the world. Readers will find much to contemplate about China’s future in this volume, and will gain a clearer sense of the key variables and possible trajectories of one of the most consequential countries on the planet.

Introduction: Whither China? David ShambaughI. China’s Political Future 1. China’s Communist Party and the Evolving Political Order, Kjeld Erik Brodsgaard 2. China’s Leadership Transition, Rod Wye II. China’s Economic Future 3. China’s Domestic Economy,Jonathan Fenby 4. China and the Global Economy, Peter Nolan III. China’s Social Future5. Civil Society and Media in China, Rachel Murphy 6. The Future of China’s Legal Regime, Pitman B. Potter IV. China’s International Future 7. China’s Relations with the Major Powers, Jean-Pierre Cabestan 8. China and the Developing World, Peter Ferdinand 9. China’s Roles in Global Security, David Shambaugh V. China’s Future in Asia 10. China Faces East Asia: Seeking Continuity Amid Change, Michael Yahuda 11. China and Southeast Asia: An Economic Perspective, Anne Booth VI. China’s Future Ties with Taiwan 12. Relations Across the Taiwan Strait: The Current Détente and its Limits, Ramon Myers 13. Prospects for Taiwan and Its Impact on Cross-Strait Relations, Dafydd Fell VII. China’s Future with Hong Kong and Macao 14. The Medium Term Future of "One Country, Two Systems" in the Hong Kong SAR, Brian Hook 15. Macau: Prosperity within Constraints, Richard Louis Edmonds Conclusion: China’s Immediate Future: Stable or Unstable? David Shambaugh

David Shambaugh is Professor of Political Science & International Affairs and Director of the China Policy Program at George Washington University, and Nonresident Senior Fellow in the Foreign Policy Studies Program & Center for Northeast Asian Studies at the Brookings Institution.